Sarah and Michael are a loving couple. One night Sarah playfully places three identical boxes on a table in front of Michael. Out of the three boxes, one contains a pearl and other two are empty. Michael is then allowed to pick any one of them. Now between the two boxes that remain on the table, at least one is empty. Sarah removes one empty box from the table. Now Michael must choose from the box he picked or the box on the table.
What box should Michael choose?
Solution:
This puzzle is also known as Monty Hall Puzzle. If Michael choose the box on the table, the probability of finding the pearl inside will be 2/3.
Let us consider the same thing with more boxes. If Sarah placed 100 boxes on the table with one box that contains the pearl and Michael is allowed to pick random, 99 boxes will remain on the table. Now at least 98 boxes in the table will be empty. Sarah will remove these 98 boxes and now Michael will have to choose from the box on table or the box in his hand. If he chooses the box below, the probability of finding the pearl in the box will be 99/100.
Now you must be convinced why he should pick the box on the table.